18 Aug · 20:50 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JR
🇨🇿Jakub Rolik
ELO 1344
FormLLLLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Dlask
MD
🇨🇿Marek Dlask
ELO 1468
FormLLWWW
40%
60%
🔥 Underdog lean · Rolik🌟Rolik covers set handicap as underdog 63% (119)
Fair odds · Dlask
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~81 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+124
H2H31-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+124)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (31-16)