18 Aug · 22:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MD
🇨🇿Marek Dlask
ELO 1468
FormLLWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Dlask
MN
🇨🇿Michal Nemec
ELO 1375
FormLLLWW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Dlask
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+93
H2H22-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+93)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (22-18)