18 Aug · 22:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MB
🇨🇿Martin Boltik
ELO 1571
FormWWWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Boltik
LJ
🇨🇿Lukas Jirka
ELO 1570
FormWWWLW
50%
50%
🌟Jirka stays under total as underdog 67% (18)
Fair odds · Boltik
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+1
H2H3-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.