18 Aug · 22:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JM
🇨🇿Jakub Mach
ELO 1543
FormWLWWW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Mach
JR
🇨🇿Jakub Rolik
ELO 1344
FormLLLLL
66%
34%
🌟Mach goes over total as favourite 63% (46)
Fair odds · Mach
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~77 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
18%
2-3
14%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+199
H2H5-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+199)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-1)