18 Aug · 20:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
T2
🇨🇿Tomas Beran 2000
ELO 1564
FormLWLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Karel
FK
🇨🇿Filip Karel
ELO 1658
FormWWLWL
42%
58%
🌟Karel goes over total as favourite 67% (18)
Fair odds · Karel
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+94
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+94)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)