18 Aug · 22:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TB
🇨🇿Tomas Bartik
ELO 1674
FormWLLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Bartik
T2
🇨🇿Tomas Beran 2000
ELO 1564
FormLWLLL
59%
41%
🌟Bartik goes over total as favourite 70% (23)
Fair odds · Bartik
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+110
H2H6-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+110)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)