Michal Lysakowski vs Marcin Stepien

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18 Aug · 13:40 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇨🇿Michal Lysakowski

ELO 1638

2-3Final setsStepien won

🇨🇿Marcin Stepien

ELO 1650

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Stepien at 51%. The actual result was Marcin Stepien 2-3 — the pick was correct.

Michal Lysakowski — profile →Marcin Stepien — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Michal Lysakowski favoured — closing 1.65

Upset

Set handicap

Michal Lysakowski −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Michal Lysakowski −2.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Over

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Lysakowski is favoured to win, below means Marcin Stepien.

▲ Michal Lysakowskipre 45% → final 77%

Marcin Stepien ▼

Biggest swing 79 ptsLysakowski recovered from 10%72 points · 5 games