18 Aug · 19:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇨🇿Miroslav Sochor
ELO 1507
FormWWLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sochor
MD
🇨🇿Milan Dvorak
ELO 1484
FormWWWLW
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Dvorak🌟Sochor rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (47)
Fair odds · Sochor
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H44-39
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.