18 Aug · 18:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VK
🇨🇿Vojtech Koutnik
ELO 1549
FormWWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Krcil
AK
🇨🇿Ales Krcil
ELO 1575
FormWWWWW
48%
52%
🌟Koutnik covers set handicap as underdog 70% (56)
Fair odds · Krcil
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+26
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.