18 Aug · 17:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
SM
🇨🇿Simon Matousch
ELO 1407
FormLWLLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Koutnik
VK
🇨🇿Vojtech Koutnik
ELO 1549
FormWWLWL
39%
61%
🔥 Underdog lean · Matousch🌟Koutnik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (40)
Fair odds · Koutnik
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+142
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+142)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)