18 Aug · 17:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KP
🇨🇿Kiejda Patryk
ELO 1600
FormWLLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Patryk
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kos
ELO 1536
FormLWWLL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Patryk
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 53% · 1.90· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+64
H2H14-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+64)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-10)