18 Aug · 18:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JC
🇨🇿Jiri Cerny
ELO 1450
FormLWLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Volek
JV
🇨🇿Jiri Volek
ELO 1485
FormLLWWL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Volek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+35
H2H3-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.