18 Aug · 18:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
PK
🇨🇿Piotr Kedzierski
ELO 1339
FormLLWWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Szostak
MS
🇨🇿Michal Szostak
ELO 1472
FormWLWLW
39%
61%
Fair odds · Szostak
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 67% · 1.49· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+133
H2H11-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+133)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-10)