18 Aug · 19:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇨🇿Michal Szostak
ELO 1473
FormWLWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kos
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kos
ELO 1535
FormLWLWW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Kos
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+62
H2H4-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)