18 Aug · 17:40 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MH
🇨🇿Matej Holub
ELO 1595
1-3Final setsFitl won
RF
🇨🇿Radek Fitl
ELO 1520
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Holub at 58%. The actual result was Radek Fitl 1-3 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Matej Holub favoured — closing 1.81
Total 74.5
74 points played
Set handicap
Matej Holub −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Matej Holub −0.5 points
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.32
Exact score
market priced 1-3 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Matej Holub is favoured to win, below means Radek Fitl.
▲ Matej Holubpre 62% → final 96%
Radek Fitl ▼
Biggest swing 63 ptsHolub recovered from 36%72 points · 4 games