19 Aug · 12:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krenek
ELO 1576
FormLWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Krenek
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1559
FormLWLLL
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Krupnik🌟Krenek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 28% (69)
Fair odds · Krenek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+17
H2H37-39
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.