19 Aug · 14:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MF
🇨🇿Martin Filipek
ELO 1475
FormLWLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Filipek
RJ
🇨🇿Robert Jamrich
ELO 1392
FormLLLLL
57%
43%
🌟Jamrich rarely covers set handicap as underdog 8% (13)
Fair odds · Filipek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+83
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)