19 Aug · 13:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MM
🇨🇿Michal Macurak
ELO 1610
FormWLWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Macurak
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krenek
ELO 1576
FormLWWLL
53%
47%
🌟Krenek covers set handicap as underdog 66% (68)
Fair odds · Macurak
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+34
H2H11-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.