19 Aug · 13:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BB
🇨🇿Bohuslav Budik
ELO 1475
FormWLLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Dvorak
FD
🇨🇿Frantisek Dvorak
ELO 1568
FormWLWWL
42%
58%
🌟Budik covers set handicap as underdog 80% (81)
Fair odds · Dvorak
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+93
H2H0-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+93)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)