19 Aug · 10:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MC
🇨🇿Martin Cerny
ELO 1633
FormWLWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Benak
JB
🇨🇿Jan Benak
ELO 1701
FormWWWLW
44%
56%
🌟Benak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (32)
Fair odds · Benak
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~73 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+68
H2H6-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+68)