19 Aug · 08:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MC
🇨🇿Martin Cerny
ELO 1633
FormWLWLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Vesecky
DV
🇨🇿David Vesecky
ELO 1767
FormWWWWW
39%
61%
🌟Cerny stays under total as underdog 62% (88)
Fair odds · Vesecky
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+134
H2H70-70
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+134)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)