19 Aug · 14:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇨🇿Jachym Sebl
ELO 1453
FormLWWWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Dvorak
FD
🇨🇿Frantisek Dvorak
ELO 1568
FormWLWWL
41%
59%
Fair odds · Dvorak
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+115
H2H9-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+115)