19 Aug · 11:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TS
🇨🇿Tadeas Slivka
ELO 1509
FormWWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Slivka
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sobota
ELO 1449
FormWWWLW
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sobota🌟Slivka rarely covers set handicap as favourite 21% (14)
Fair odds · Slivka
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+60
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)