19 Aug · 13:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TS
🇨🇿Tadeas Slivka
ELO 1509
FormWWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Slivka
DS
🇨🇿Dominik Stefek
ELO 1437
FormLWWWW
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Stefek🌟Slivka rarely covers set handicap as favourite 21% (14)
Fair odds · Slivka
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+72
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+72)