19 Aug · 07:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Kindl
ELO 1474
FormLLLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Krupnik
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1559
FormLWLLL
43%
57%
🌟Krupnik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (70)
Fair odds · Krupnik
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+85
H2H15-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+85)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-9)