19 Aug · 13:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JP
🇨🇿Jan Pribyl
ELO 1587
FormLWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Pribyl
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krenek
ELO 1576
FormLWWLL
51%
49%
🌟Krenek covers set handicap as underdog 66% (68)
Fair odds · Pribyl
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+11
H2H2-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.