19 Aug · 14:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LM
🇨🇿Ladislav Moravec
ELO 1483
FormWWWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Moravec
RJ
🇨🇿Robert Jamrich
ELO 1392
FormLLLLL
57%
43%
⚡ Cover lean · Moravec🌟Jamrich rarely covers set handicap as underdog 8% (13)
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+91
H2H21-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+91)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-13)