19 Aug · 13:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MF
🇨🇿Martin Filipek
ELO 1475
FormLWLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Filipek
FM
🇨🇿Filip Marat
ELO 1397
FormLWWLL
56%
44%
🌟Marat goes over total as underdog 65% (74)
Fair odds · Filipek
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+78
H2H8-21
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+78)