19 Aug · 10:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LS
🇨🇿Lukas Krupnik Snr
ELO 1478
FormWWWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Snr
TS
🇨🇿Tomas Stempak
ELO 1414
FormWLLLL
55%
45%
🌟Snr stays under total as favourite 73% (15)
Fair odds · Snr
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+64
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+64)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)