19 Aug · 12:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FK
🇨🇿Filip Karel
ELO 1674
FormLWWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Karel
JM
🇨🇿Jan Muska
ELO 1580
FormWLWWW
58%
42%
🔥 Underdog lean · Muska🌟Muska covers set handicap as underdog 74% (23)
Fair odds · Karel
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+94
H2H3-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+94)