19 Aug · 14:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Knazik
ELO 1571
FormWLWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Knazik
BB
🇨🇿Bohuslav Budik
ELO 1475
FormWLLLL
58%
42%
🔥 Underdog lean · Budik🌟Budik covers set handicap as underdog 80% (81)
Fair odds · Knazik
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+96
H2H34-29
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+96)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (34-29)