19 Aug · 14:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1559
FormLWLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Pribyl
JP
🇨🇿Jan Pribyl
ELO 1587
FormLWWLL
48%
52%
🌟Krupnik covers set handicap as underdog 65% (63)
Fair odds · Pribyl
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+28
H2H6-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.