19 Aug · 13:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MH
🇨🇿Matej Holub
ELO 1595
FormLWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Karel
FK
🇨🇿Filip Karel
ELO 1674
FormLWWWW
44%
56%
🌟Karel goes over total as favourite 67% (18)
Fair odds · Karel
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+79
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+79)