19 Aug · 13:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DL
🇨🇿Dominik Lengal
ELO 1656
FormWWLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Lengal
JM
🇨🇿Jan Muska
ELO 1580
FormWLWWW
56%
44%
🌟Muska covers set handicap as underdog 74% (23)
Fair odds · Lengal
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+76
H2H5-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+76)