19 Aug · 12:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
ML
🇨🇿Michal Lysakowski
ELO 1635
FormWLLLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Lysakowski
SW
🇨🇿Sylwester Wloszek
ELO 1452
FormLWLLW
65%
35%
Fair odds · Lysakowski
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 66% · 1.52· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~80 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+183
H2H103-74
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+183)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (103-74)