19 Aug · 17:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1532
FormLLLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Sindler
TO
🇨🇿Tomas Ogrocki
ELO 1421
FormLLWLL
59%
41%
🔥 Underdog lean · Ogrocki🌟Sindler rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (77)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+111
H2H2-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+111)