19 Aug · 21:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VM
🇨🇿Vojtech Molin
ELO 1444
FormLLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Molin
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Kus
ELO 1440
FormLWLWL
50%
50%
🌟Kus stays under total as underdog 63% (57)
Fair odds · Molin
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+4
H2H1-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.