19 Aug · 18:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KL
🇨🇿Krystof Lahodny
ELO 1469
FormLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Martin
JM
🇨🇿Jirasek Martin
ELO 1540
FormLLLWW
44%
56%
🌟Martin stays under total as favourite 85% (13)
Fair odds · Martin
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+71
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+71)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)