19 Aug · 17:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FS
🇨🇿Filip Strejc
ELO 1550
FormLWWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Flicek
TF
🇨🇿Tomas Flicek
ELO 1614
FormWWWWL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Flicek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+64
H2H20-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+64)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)