19 Aug · 21:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KZ
🇨🇿Karel Zeman
ELO 1500
FormWWLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Zeman
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Kus
ELO 1440
FormLWLWL
55%
45%
🌟Zeman rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (39)
Fair odds · Zeman
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+60
H2H4-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-2)