19 Aug · 16:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MK
🇨🇿Marek Kulisek
ELO 1546
FormLWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kulisek
DH
🇨🇿Daniel Hyza
ELO 1525
FormLLLWL
52%
48%
🌟Kulisek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (90)
Fair odds · Kulisek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 34% · 2.96· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H22-58
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.