19 Aug · 17:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MB
🇨🇿Michal Brozek
ELO 1620
FormLLWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Brozek
MK
🇨🇿Marek Kulisek
ELO 1546
FormLWWLW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Brozek
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+74
H2H100-86
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+74)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (100-86)