19 Aug · 18:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PV
🇨🇿Pavel Vinansky
ELO 1596
FormWWWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Vinansky
AD
🇨🇿Ales Drozd
ELO 1505
FormWWLWL
57%
43%
🌟Drozd covers set handicap as underdog 73% (26)
Fair odds · Vinansky
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+91
H2H4-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+91)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)