19 Aug · 18:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DH
🇨🇿Daniel Hyza
ELO 1525
FormLLLWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Brozek
MB
🇨🇿Michal Brozek
ELO 1620
FormLLWWW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Brozek
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+95
H2H33-38
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+95)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)