19 Aug · 16:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KB
🇨🇿Karel Baros
ELO 1515
FormLLWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Vinansky
PV
🇨🇿Pavel Vinansky
ELO 1596
FormWWWWW
43%
57%
🌟Baros covers set handicap as underdog 67% (27)
Fair odds · Vinansky
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+81
H2H0-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+81)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)