19 Aug · 18:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TV
🇨🇿Tomas Vorisek
ELO 1734
FormWLWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Vorisek
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Kadavy
ELO 1655
FormWLLWL
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kadavy🌟Kadavy covers set handicap as underdog 62% (50)
Fair odds · Vorisek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+79
H2H28-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+79)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (28-17)