19 Aug · 13:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
BM
🇨🇿Bartlomiej Molka
ELO 1552
FormWWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Galus
MG
🇨🇿Mateusz Galus
ELO 1581
FormWLLWW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Galus
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 48% · 2.08· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H42-38
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.