19 Aug · 13:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PG
🇨🇿Pawel Gola
ELO 1545
FormLWLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Lysakowski
ML
🇨🇿Michal Lysakowski
ELO 1629
FormLWLLL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Lysakowski
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 52% · 1.93· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+84
H2H88-102
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+84)