19 Aug · 20:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DB
🇨🇿Daniel Branny
ELO 1571
FormWWWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Branny
MR
🇨🇿Michal Raska
ELO 1510
FormWWLWW
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Raska🌟Branny rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (37)
Fair odds · Branny
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~79 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+61
H2H17-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-15)