19 Aug · 21:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RH
🇨🇿Radek Hruby
ELO 1375
FormWWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Hruby
PK
🇨🇿Patrik Klusacek
ELO 1359
FormLWWWL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Hruby
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 38% · 2.66· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+16
H2H3-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.